We're F*****
“Young people by many measures know less today than young people forty years ago. And their news habits are worse. Newspaper reading went out in the sixties along with the Hula Hoop. Just 20% of young Americans between the ages of 18 and 34 read a daily paper. And that isn't saying much. There's no way of knowing what part of the paper they're reading. It is likelier to encompass the comics and a quick glance at the front page than dense stories or the budget. The average age of CNN's audience is sixty. Only 11% of 18-34 year-olds say that they regularly click on news web pages.”
-Mother Jones
At the last TNG mixer I had a conversation with frequent contributor Tyrone, who believes that Barack Obama will move into the oval office next year despite John McCain’s relentless gutter politics and the popular frenzy surrounding vice-nightmare Sarah Palin (I can see Russia from my house!). Tyrone thinks that the poll numbers look good for Obama. I think that Barracuda will be hunting moose on the White House lawn for the next four or more.
As I’ve said before, I’m not a political scientist and this community blog has no shortage of commenters who are smarter than me and willing to let me know why I’m wrong—and I hope I am. However in spite of promising demographics, an unpopular president, and an electorate anxious about war and economic issues, I can’t dismiss the single most important factor in modern day presidential elections: the stupidity of the American people.
Many of my friends are exasperated over the shock and awe of the McCain smear campaign. How can this jackal lie so often, viciously, and openly and still see his poll numbers rise? How can the American people believe McCain is a maverick and Palin an agent of change considering their records? How could they vote for the Republican party after eight years of clusterfuck nation? The answer is as simple as the average American.
This country elected President George Bush because they felt he was like them. Twice. In a sense, they looked into his eyes and saw his soul. Unsurprising, they saw nothing more than their own deluded image staring back at them. As you already know, he was the kind of man they wanted to have a beer with. Unfortunately, they failed to realize he was an alcoholic. Eight years later, the American people will look into the mirror of two republican politicians and again fail to see authoritarian and tribal mindsets, an assault on reason, or brittle egos prone to mean spirited vindictiveness. They will fail to see policy over personality and truth over spin. They will fail to understand nuance instead of resorting to simplistic notions of good vs. evil. They will fail to accept the civic responsibility of being an informed citizen instead of numbing itself senseless with the distractions of a fat and comfortable nation. They will fail America. They will fail themselves. Why am I certain? Because none of us who stare into the mirror and see ourselves for what we are, warts and all, have any reason to think otherwise until our fellow Americans prove us wrong. I'm counting on their record.
I know what I write is upsetting. I know the mentality of tv nation makes no sense. My advice is to be thankful for your opposable thumbs, make another donation to Obama, and let it go. Being a ball of twisted nerves for the next two months as you worry about whether your country will learn from its mistakes is self-flagellating. It won't. Falling education standards and decreased access to higher education don't create a nation of smarter people. In an effort to make my case, help reorient you to the America you live in, and spare you the stress of misplaced hope, please consider the following a public service reminder about who it is that outnumbers you:
This data is from Gallup and other legitimate polls, all taken between 1995 and 2001. I’m going to take a leap of faith and guess that the numbers haven’t changed significantly since then:
42% of Americans cannot locate Japan on a map.
15% of Americans cannot locate the United States on a map.
40% of American adults do not know that Germany was our enemy in World War II.
58% of American high school seniors cannot understand a newspaper editorial in any newspaper.
A US Department of Education survey in 1995 revealed that 50% of students were unaware of the cold war and 60% were unaware of how the United States came into existence.
Nearly 70% of Americans believe in the existence of angels, 50% believe in the existence of UFOs and space aliens, and 30% think they have had contact with the dead.
About 1 in 4 Americans can name more than one of the five freedoms guaranteed by the First Amendment.
22% of Americans can name all five Simpson family members, but only 1 in 1,000 people can name all five First Amendment freedoms.
In 1986, only 30% knew that Roe v. Wade was the Supreme Court decision that ruled abortion legal more than a decade earlier.
Only 25% of Americans know the length of term for a US Senator.
Only 20% of Americans know how many Senators are in congress.
Only 40% of Americans can correctly identify and name the three branches of government.
Only 49% of Americans know which country dropped the nuclear bomb. Let me say it another way. 51% of AMERICANS don’t know that their own country dropped a fucking nuclear fucking weapon on another country.
30% of Americans don’t know what the holocaust was.
Only 35% know that Congress can override a presidential veto.
49% of Americans think the president can suspend the Constitution.
60% of Americans believe that he can appoint judges to the federal courts without the approval of the Senate.
45% of Americans believe that revolutionary speech is punishable under the Constitution.
From Mother Jones:
“In earlier generations—in the 1950s, for example—young people read newspapers and digested the news at rates similar to those of the general population. Nothing indicates that the current generation of young people will suddenly begin following the news when they turn 35 or 40. Indeed, half a century of studies suggest that most people who do not pick up the news habit in their twenties probably never will.”
“In another study of 17 year olds, only 4% could read a bus schedule, and only 12% could arrange six common fractions in order of size.”
“U.S. Census data indicate that voters aged 18 to 24 turn out in low numbers. In 1972, when 18 year olds got the vote, 52% cast a ballot. In subsequent years, far fewer voted: in 1988, 40%; in 1992, 50%; in 1996, 35%; in 2000, 36%. In 2004, despite the most intense get-out-the-vote effort ever focused on young people, just 47% took the time to cast a ballot.”
From noted intellectual Morris Berman’s book “The Twilight of American Culture”:
“Ignorance of the most elementary scientific facts on the part of American adults is nothing less than breathtaking…..56% of those polled said that electrons were larger than atoms; 63% stated that the earliest human beings lived at the same time as the dinosaurs; 53% said that the earth revolves around the sun in either a day or a month….91% were unable to state what a molecule was. A random telephone survey of more than 2,000 adults by Northern Illinois University revealed that 21% believed that the sun revolved around the earth, with an additional 7% saying that they did not know which revolved around which.”
“Of the 158 countries in the United Nations, the US ranks forty-ninth in literacy. Roughly 60% of the adult population has never read a book of any kind, and only 6% reads as much as one book a year, where book is defined to include harlequin romances and self-help manuals. Something like 120 million adults are illiterate or read at no better than a fifth-grade level. Among readers age 21-35, 67% regularly read a daily newspaper in 1965, as compared with 31% in 1998.”
“In 1998 the Massachusetts Board of Education instituted a literacy test for teachers, pegged at the level of an exam for a high school equivalency diploma. Of the eighteen hundred prospective teachers who took it, 59% failed. In response to this, the interim commissioner of education, one Frank Haydu III, announced that the passing grade would be lowered.”
14 comments:
Way to go Ben. Remind me of my anxiety. HAHA. I think that maybe the wall st disaster is getting the media to focus on real issues rather than Palin and her "bridge to nowhere." I am hoping that even the least educated person can observe that Republicans have really messed things up. I try to be an optimist! On another note, I think a good American education system is crucial to a healthy democracy. The uneducated and undereducated can be lead right off Palin's so-called "bridge to nowhere."
BTW a sign of hope is CNN's electoral map prediction
http://www.cnn.com/2008/POLITICS/06/10/electoral.map/index.html
I would have to agree - this is spot on. The fact that the American people have had 8 years to reject Bush's and the GOP's policies, and are still split down the middle this election, tells me that we as a country don't even deserve positive change. I wonder how many years it'll take, or if we'll just keep on spiraling.
Then again, you are always right that there's no point in feeling down about it... Can still cross our fingers and hope for something crazy to happen, right? And by "something crazy," I guess I mean "something intelligent."
Depressing stuff. My dad mentioned the other day that McCain and Obama were evening out in the bookie odds. I looked em up this morning and it looks like Obama still has a comfortable lead.
http://politicalbetting.bestbetting.com/specials/politics/usa/president
Yes, I, too, have been increasingly worried about all this, because I believe that Americans don't want to look deeper, take responsibility for our actions in our own lives and the world at large, etc. (I see this as a direct result of Judeo-Christian constructs, but that's another post.)
During the last election, I wasn't turned-on by Kerry, but I loved him during debates - in a matter of moments, he could think critically, develop a beginning-middle-end arc, and say something thought provoking. So much of America, though, distrusts education, as seen by the statistics you state here.
This also reminded of one of the Dalai Lama's ongoing projects to help "educate" schoolchildren around the world about cultivating compassion. While I think knowing the difference between electrons and atoms is a helpful thing, push-come-to-shove, it doesn't make our daily interactions with one another that much better. Educating or exposing people to different ways of thinking about humanity does, and it's something I truly think could change the world.
Thanks for the post, Ben, and giving public voice to some of the things rattling around in my head.
Ignore national polls, they're less than worthless. Additionally, electoral polling is only useful if it uses meta-analysis across all polling agencies, as is being done by Princeton:
http://election.princeton.edu
If anyone tries to prove anything to you with a single Gallup or Rasmussen poll, you have my permission to punch them in the vagina.
The fun part of this is that unless there's a major reverse in trends, Obama could very well win the electoral vote and lose the popular vote. How do you think Republicans will handle that one?
McCain/Palin '08 suckas!
i am a political scientist, and i would just remind despairing obama supporters of a couple of important factors:
1. mccain's post-convention bounce is already fading. never get too despondent over polls that take place immediately following a convention.
2. national polls don't matter. and state polls lag behind national trends. obama is ticking up again in national polls and the states will follow in short order.
3. most of those stupid americans that don't know where the united states is on a map don't vote anyway. so, don't conflate the population with the electorate- they are two very different things.
4. sarah palin has given one interview. i still think she will crash and burn by election day, at least among the independents that still are enamored with her. oh, and the media loves to build up and then tear down new phenomena like sarah palin. that will be fun when it happens.
5. most importantly, for all the talk about change vs. experience, and all of those campaign narratives that everyone fixates on, this boils down to a ground game on election day. the campaign that is more organized is the campaign that will win. obama's campaign is far more organized and ready to get their voters to the polls than mccain's. remember the primaries? obama didn't beat clinton because of any issues or personalities or silly narratives like "change versus experience." he won because he out-organized her. he'll out-organize mccain, too.
if you're really worried and want to make a difference, go to northern virginia and volunteer to mobilize obama's voters. we have a critical battleground right in our backyard. go do something tangible to help obama win.
author's note:
Can I repost that as a stand alone post? Commenters should consider sending us longer comments as stand-alone posts, as posts recieve more readers.
http://www.electionprojection.com/index.shtml
check this one out. the blogger has a great record of accuracy on elections. in particular since he has a strong conservative/republican bent, the fact that he still considers obama to have a very good strong chance gives me heart.
national polls mean nothing. it's all about the electoral college, remember that.
A couple of points, here:
First, while Americans don't do so well on these sorts of general knowledge questions, this is neither new or unique to us. A 1999 Gallup poll found that a shocking 1 in 5 Americans don't know the earth revolves around the Sun, rather than vice versa, but surveys taken of the citizenry of Germany and the UK showed that their performance is comparably poor. Dumb people, unfortunately, are a fact of life. (The whole poll, which has other questions: http://www.gallup.com/poll/3742/new-poll-gauges-americans-general-knowledge-levels.aspx).
Also, I think it's worth noting that the current media establishment (not to sound all conspiracy-theory-ish) tends not to give credence to the way people younger than themselves get information. It's true that nobody reads the paper, anymore, but the fact that the printed paper is becoming obsolete doesn't mean people aren't informed, and I suspect that even "news websites," in the mentioned statistics, are probably fairly narrowly defined, and don't include things like political blogs. Using blogs as your main news source has its own issues, but I think current mainstream news sources are not neutral observers in this matter, and are likely to represent themselves as authoritative where knowledge and news are concerned, and other sources as lesser, whether or not that's warranted. Consider this illustrative example: Pew conducted a current events knowledge survey, last year, and correlated the results with people's stated main source of news. Respondents that claimed the Daily Show and Colbert Report as their source came in second, behind only major newspaper websites, and better than NPR, news magazines, CNN, or daily local newspapers (as reported in Wired, http://www.wired.com/culture/culturereviews/magazine/15-07/st_infoporn). I'm not saying we young'uns are all geniuses, but the Daily Show definitely skews young in its audience, and I think this sort of thing is indicative of the fact that perhaps we just get our news in a different way than our parents, something that isn't necessarily bad.
this is another decent site to look at:
http://www.electoral-vote.com/
Yeah, thanks for the uplifting stats, Ben. But I'm feeling just as crestfallen about it all. The fact that the women on The View offered the most hard-hitting questions didn't help. The media is partially responsible for directing crap across the airwaves, and not facts or actual reporting.
The people voting for McCain or Bush are the very people who will bear the hardest hits to their pocketbooks and social services.
I'll hope for the electoral college to come through, but I'm not sure I can handle another 4 years of overspending and the destruction of our reputation (however earned) in other parts of the world.
i like what andrew says.
i also think there is also a rapidly changing priorities environment that's really hard to track, wherein a middle schooler could fix your computer, but would fail to locate japan on a map...
but yeah, people are still stupid. and i am concerned for our future as well. my dad told me just the other day that he thought i was being brainwashed by "the liberals" because i'm voting for obama.
i said if he loved his gay son he wouldn't vote for mccain/palin.
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